Forecast: At the beginning of the year, the supply is stable and the demand is weak, and the steel market fluctuates and maintains stability
At present, the domestic steel market has entered the traditional “winter storage” market, and the actual downstream demand is constantly weakening, and the domestic steel market has entered the stage of accumulating storage. Enthusiasm is not high, but the passive “winter reserve” of the market still exists.
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From the perspective of the supply side, although the northern region is about to enter the autumn and winter production limit time, and the Winter Olympics will be held at the same time, the implementation of the production limit will be significantly intensified, and the supply side will be weaker than in previous years, but the price of raw materials in the early stage will increase. The rise also makes the cost support of the steel market stronger. At present, the domestic steel market has gradually shifted from “strong supply and weak demand” to “steady supply and weak demand”. Therefore, the domestic steel market will maintain a stable and fluctuating trend in the short term.
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This week (2022.1.17-1.21) the domestic steel market price is expected to be stable and volatile, the long product market price will be slightly adjusted, the profile market price will be stable and weak, the plate market price will fluctuate slightly, and the pipe market price will fluctuate slightly. The national absolute price index of steel is expected to be 5,063 yuan, down 1 yuan; among them, the absolute price index of long products is expected to be 4,838 yuan, down 3 yuan; the absolute price index of profiles is expected to be 5,118 yuan, down 3 yuan; the absolute price index of plates is expected to be 5,159 yuan Fluctuates around the yuan; the absolute price index of pipes is expected to fluctuate around 5,675 yuan.
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